For nearly two weeks, I have been carefully following the successive developments on the Sudanese scene. In fact, I was not surprised by the current events. I knew what would happen next, not because I predicted the future, but because what happened and is happening is a carbon copy of what we have witnessed here in Egypt.
It is the same scenario in all its details; calls for demonstrations on social media, people taking to the streets, calls for the departure of the regime and the formation of a technocratic government, satellite channels igniting the situation, clashes between the police and demonstrators, blood and martyrs, even the demonstration squares are full of youths who check the demonstrators for weapons and contraband before allowing them entry! All to create chaos.
Sudan is now in the penultimate stage, which is the transitional stage, where the struggle revolves around the formation of the transitional government, which will undoubtedly be rejected by the street.
We all hope that things will end well and that the Sudanese people will achieve their legitimate aspirations, but they must also understand the lesson well and absorb the experiences of others. This is because the collapse of states these days is achieved through calls, tweets, and posts on social networks to spread social justice and democracy, all of which are valid calls for hidden goals that lead to undermining established states.
I am not a supporter of the conspiracy theories; however, I believe that conspiracy is part of history and that it often contributes to pivotal transformations in human history. Here, many questions arise that seek answers, such as whether it is permissible to separate what is happening from what has happened since 2011 in the Arab region? Do we know who is behind what is happening? Is it a new wave of the Arab Spring?
I think that there is an attempt by some parties that lost in the first wave of the so-called Arab Spring to remain in the picture at any cost; to rearrange their positions and achieve what they previously failed to accomplish.
What concerns us is Egypt, which succeeded in getting out of its crisis and began to achieve many political, economic, and security gains; the gains that contradict the goals and plans of some regional powers that lead the regional axis of evil.
Egypt is fully concerned with what is happening, especially in Sudan, as it is crucial to Egyptian national security. It is the most important and dangerous strategic depth, as the Nile River passes through it, the lifeblood and the source of growth and stability in Egypt.
What is certain is that Egypt has the ability and capacity to absorb the repercussions of the situation and has the foresight to deal with everything that will happen in Khartoum.
Hatem Sadek: Professor at Helwan University