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Transition in Qatar: Will he or won’t he?

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James M. Dorsey

James M. Dorsey

By James M. Dorsey

Conventional wisdom predicts that 33-year old Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani will adhere to his father’s use of sports as a key foreign, defence and security policy tool to embed Qatar in the international community. Experts and pundits suggest that Sheikh Tamim at best will nibble at the fringe of his father’s, at times bold, policies by expanding the government’s focus on domestic issues.

No doubt, Sheikh Tamim has demonstrated his interest in sports as head of the Qatar Olympic Committee and by creating Qatar National Sports Day, a popular annual event on 14 February. That move coupled with his chairing of the Supreme Education Council lies at the core of the suggestion that he will focus not only on the emirate’s regional and global projection but also on his country’s domestic affairs.

As always, the devil is in the details. No doubt, outgoing emir Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani will be remembered as a visionary who put his tiny country on the world map, changed the Middle East and North Africa’s media landscape with the creation of the Al Jazeera television network, offered the Gulf an alternative vision of leadership by stepping aside to make place for a younger generation and turned Qatar into a nation with the world’s highest income per capita of the population.

Few Qataris will question Sheikh Hamad’s achievements. By the same token, conservative segments of Qatari society to whom Sheikh Tamim is believed to be close have questioned some of the side effects of the emir’s policies, including:

  • Huge expenditure on a bold foreign policy that put Qatar at the forefront of regional demands for greater freedom and change, but also earned it significant criticism;
  • Unfulfilled promises of change at home that would give Qataris a greater say in where their country is going;
  • A stark increase in foreign labour to complete ambitious infrastructure projects, many of which are World Cup-related and have exposed Qatar for the first time to real pressure for change;
  • More liberal catering to western expatriates by allowing controlled sale of alcohol and pork;
  • Potential tacit concessions Qatar may have to make to non-Muslim football fans during the World Cup, including expanded areas where consumption of alcohol will be allowed, public rowdiness and dress codes largely unseen in the Gulf state, and the presence of gays.

A discussion in Qatar about possibly transferring ownership of football clubs from prominent Qataris, including members of the ruling family, to publicly held companies because of a lack of Qatari interest in “the sheikh’s club”, illustrates a degree of sensitivity to popular criticism.

Sheikh Tamim has moreover enhanced his popularity by his close relationship to Qatari tribes, his upholding of Islamic morals exemplified by the fact that alcohol is not served in luxury hotels that he owns and his accessibility, similar to that of Saudi King Abdullah. He was also the driving force behind last year’s replacement of English by Arabic as the main language of instruction at Qatar University. He is further believed to have been empathetic to unprecedented on-line campaigns by Qatari activists against the state-owned telecommunications company and Qatar Airways.

Much of the criticism of Sheikh Hamad has quietly been supported by Saudi Arabia whose relation with Sheikh Hamad, who came to power in a bloodless coup in 1995, has more often than not been troubled. Sheikh Tamim could well bring a different tone to Saudi-Qatari relations. Since the eruption of the crisis in Syria, Sheikh Tamim has been the point man in coordinating policies with the kingdom and, instead of the emir, greeted guests as they arrived in March for an Arab summit in Doha.

“Sheikh Tamim will not rock the boat. He is well-versed and immersed in Qatari vision and policy. He understands the importance to Qatar of sports,” said a Qatari with an inside track. “At most, he will be more publicly embracing of traditionalism in what remains at the bottom line a conservative society.”

 James M. Dorsey is a senior fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, co-director of the University of Würzburg’s Institute of Fan Culture, and the author of The Turbulent World of Middle East Soccer blog.

 

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Rudy-Haugeneder/825335175 Rudy Haugeneder

    Considering Qatar’s very sizable investments in Britain, the City — and Wall Street — must have huge worries about the royal change of guard, especially not really knowing whether the new Emir, a strong Muslim, actually likes the Christian and generally anti-Islamic UK and America as much as everybody expects.

    Now that the Arab Spring has swung toward a more militant brand of Muslim extremism than originally anticipated, will he and Qatar continue to militarily and financially support rebels they cannot control and who may soon target Arab royal families for being too Western in thought and action — which could see Emirs everywhere across the Arabian Peninsula be disposed of as brutally as the once all-powerful Czar and his family were in Russia.

    A wise new Emir would tie his soul and finances more closely to Islam than rely on the West for protection.

  • Pingback: Transition in Qatar: Will he or won’t he? - TalkAfrika.com


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